Comments on South Asia

  • S2S_regionact
    S2S_regionact, 2021/08/25 18:03

    Upcoming Event:

    ONLINE TRAINING WORKSHOP ON "SUBSEASONAL TO SEASONAL (S2S) PREDICTION OF MONSOONS", 1 - 12 November 2021
    in Conjunction with the Seventh WMO International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM-7) to be held in early 2022 in India

    LAST DATE FOR ONLINE REGISTRATION: 15 AUGUST 2021

    The IWM series provide a forum for researchers and forecasters to discuss recent advances and current issues involving monsoons as an example of an earth-system phenomenon covering weather-to-climate time scales affecting large populations around the world. The emphasis is to address monsoon impacts as part of the societal challenges of the WWRP: high-impact weather, water, agriculture, urbanization, and new technologies, in monsoon regions around the world. The outcomes of IWM are sought to transfer new science and technology to National Meteorological and Hydrological Services over the relevant monsoon regions. The IWM-7 has two components, an online training workshop in November 2021 and a scientific workshop in spring 2022 (the exact date, venue, and format to be decided).

    The training workshop will be focused on the subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction of monsoons and will offer short courses to NMHS forecasters. Specific topics will include
    1.S2S predictability sources.
    2.Access to the S2S database and tools
    3.Model validation and forecast verification
    4.Calibration and ensemble techniques.

    A pre-workshop orientation course will be offered before the main training workshop to introduce and facilitate the data and tools to be compiled by the trainees in advance and to familiarize the trainees with the workshop procedures including the practical sessions.

    Please visit https://icmpo.tropmet.res.in/iwm7training.php for more details on the workshop.

    Thanks and kind regards,
    Dr (Mrs) Susmitha Joseph, IITM, Pune, India.

  • S2S_regionact
    S2S_regionact, 2021/08/25 18:04

    S2S Webinar on “S2S Forecast and its applications in South Asia”:

    WMO S2S Working Group and International CLIVAR Monsoon Project Office (ICMPO) with active support from Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), India organized a one-day webinar on “S2S Forecast and its applications in South Asia” on 28 July 2021 during 1100-1300 UTC (1630-1830 IST)at IITM, Pune, India.

    The webinar had four talks from scientists and users who are from the S2S prediction and application areas. This was a part of the monthly webinar series organized by the WMO S2S Prediction Project.

    The recording of the webinar is available at:  https://youtu.be/-A15D1pl0BY

    For details of the webinar, please visit https://icmpo.tropmet.res.in/webinarseries.php

    Thanks and Kind regards
    Dr (Mrs) Susmitha Joseph, IITM, Pune, India.

  • S2S_regionact
    S2S_regionact, 2021/08/25 18:08

    International Symposium on Tropical Meteorology (INTROMET-2021) ON CHANGING CLIMATE: CONSEQUENCES AND CHALLENGES (C4-21), November 23-26, 2021:

    LAST DATE OF ABSTRACT SUBMISSION: 30 AUGUST 2021.

    The Cochin Chapter of the Indian Meteorological Society (IMS) is hosting INTROMET-2021 with the theme Changing Climate: Consequences and Challenges. It will provide an excellent opportunity for the national and international community of Atmospheric Scientists to discuss various issues of the changing climate and their consequences and challenges.

    Please visit https://www.intromet2021.org/ for more details.

    Thanks and Kind regards
    Dr (Mrs) Susmitha Joseph, IITM, Pune, India.

  • S2S_regionact
    S2S_regionact, 2021/08/25 21:31

    New publications on S2S prediction:

    The extended range prediction group at Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), India recently published the below articles on the development of a Multi-Physics Multi-Model Ensemble (MPMME) for the improved extended range prediction.

    1. Multi-Model Multi-Physics Ensemble: A Futuristic Way to Extended Range Prediction System; Atul K. Sahai, Manpreet Kaur, Susmitha Joseph, Avijit Dey, R. Phani, Raju Mandal and Rajib Chattopadhyay, Front. Clim., 21 May 2021 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.655919
      2. Multi-physics schema for sub-seasonal prediction of Indian summer monsoon; Manpreet Kaur, A. K. Sahai, R. Phani, Susmitha Joseph, Raju Mandal, Avijit Dey & Rajib Chattopadhyay,  Clim Dyn (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05926-2

    thanks and kind regards
    Dr (Mrs) Susmitha Joseph, IITM, Pune, India.

  • S2S_regionact
    S2S_regionact, 2021/09/16 21:26

    Dear All,

    The extended range prediction products for research/scientific use based on the 15 September 2021 initial condition are now uploaded in http://www.tropmet.res.in/erpas/. These forecast products are based on the real-time weekly operational forecast generated by IMD using the Multi-Model Extended Range Prediction System developed at IITM.

    Rainfall, Max & Min temperatures, Heatwaves, MJO forecasts, Soil moisture (0-10cm), Relative humidity, Cyclogenesis predictions are available in the same link. The PPT can be downloaded from  https://www.tropmet.res.in/erpas/ppt/ERPAS_Real-Time_Forecast_20210915.ppt
    The MME forecasts are prepared using CFS(T126 & T382) and GFS(T126 & T382). Each resolution of CFS and GFS is having 4 ensemble members.

    The subdivision-wise categorical forecast of rainfall plots is also added on an experimental basis in the above mentioned PPT.

    The IMD operational products are available at  http://nwp.imd.gov.in/erf_outlook.php

    The latest forecast suggests that active monsoon conditions may prevail for the next two weeks over northwestern and adjoining parts of central India. This indicates that the withdrawal of the southwest monsoon will be delayed. 

    thanks and kind regards
    Dr (Mrs) Susmitha Joseph, IITM, Pune, India.

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