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Changes for document S2S Phase-II Ensembles Sub-project
From version 10.1
edited by s2s_wiki
on 2020/05/11 14:38
on 2020/05/11 14:38
To version 11.1
edited by s2s_wiki
on 2020/05/11 14:38
on 2020/05/11 14:38
Change comment: There is no comment for this version
Content changes
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3 | 3 | Addressing issues related to ensemble strategies for the sub-seasonal predictions. Relevant scientific questions include: |
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6 | +Relative merits of ensemble generation strategies for the sub-seasonal timescale (ens. size, burst/LAF, etc.); | |
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9 | +Influence of ocean and coupled initial perturbations for potential improvements in skill and reliability in the prediction of certain regimes (e.g. MJO, tropical cyclone); | |
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12 | +Over-confident predictions due to the discrepancy between the observed and forecast spread resulting from both random and systematic errors (bias errors); | |
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15 | +Understanding and representing model uncertainty (e.g., stochastic physics) for the sub-seasonal timescale. | |
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18 | 18 | ))) |