S2S Real-Time Pilot Initiative

A key feature of the S2S Prediction Project’s 2nd Phase is the pull through of research to operations and specifically focussed on pull through to meet user needs. The S2S Real Time Pilot Initiative is designed to improve our understanding of how we can effectively pull through our underpinning and growing science capability to better inform the development of user-orientated applications in the S2S time range. The initiative will look to produce best practice guidance on how to make S2S forecast information useful and useable, by working with a select group of projects that have an end user focus.

The Initiative started on Nov. 1 2019 with selected application projects accessing S2S forecast data in real time for a limited period of time (2 years: Nov. 2019 – Oct. 2021). 16 projects are participating in the S2S Real Time Pilot Initiative (collaboration with WWRP/SERA Group, lead: Dr. Joanne Robbins). They cover a wide range of geographical areas and application sectors (Energy, agriculture, health, civill protection, humanitarian, water, forestry, fishing, media, etc). The names of projects are as follows.

1. Sea Ice Prediction Network Phase 2
2. Monthly Climate Outlooks
3. Experimental Subseasonal Forecasting of Atmospheric Rivers along the US West Coast
4. ForPAc: Towards Forecast-based Preparedness Action
5. Asia Regional Resilience to a Changing Climate (ARRCC)
6. Navy Earth System Prediction Capability
7. Digiscape
8. S2S4E Sub-seasonal to seasonal climate forecasting for energy
9. GCRF-African SWIFT
10. Intesa Operativa fra DPC e CNR-ISAC (Operational Agreement between Italian Civil Protection Agency and CNR-ISAC)
11. S2S for Disaster Risk Reduction in Southeast Asia
12. W2SIP (WISER support to ICPAC Project)
13. Multi-scale climate variability in South America and sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction
14. Tailoring sub-seasonal predictions for Early Warning Systems to support Public Health management - A Case Study in Rio Branco, Acre state, Brazilian Amazon
15. Understanding the mechanisms and predictability of persistent large-scale circulations patterns over North America leading to extreme fire weather conditions
16. Adapting Agriculture to Climate Today, for Tomorrow (ACToday) - A Columbia University World Project

More information on the 16 projects are can be found here: http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/16Projects.pdf

The main goals of Real Time Pilot for S2S applications are to demonstrate the value of S2S forecasts to different GFCS sectors, to promote interdisciplinary research for the development of “Ready-Set- Go” type S2S applications, and to better understand user’s needs and S2S forecast limitations (collaboration with WWRP/SERA group).