From version 5.1
edited by S2S_r2o
on 2020/03/24 07:40
To version 6.1
edited by S2S_r2o
on 2020/03/24 07:43
Change comment: There is no comment for this version

Content changes

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2 -
3 3 **1) Scientific and Operational Objectives**
4 4
5 5 * Pursue research for testing and developing methodologies for calibration, multi-model combination, verification and generation of forecast products.
... ... @@ -7,26 +7,14 @@
7 7 Coordinate with the relevant WMO technical commissions to define the standards and protocols for operational implementation and exchange of S2S forecasts such that by the end of the Phase II of the S2S, the infrastructure related to the data exchange to support research can be transitioned into the operational domain.
8 8 )))
9 9
8 +(% style="font-weight: normal;" %)**The **(%%)**[[//R2O and S2S forecast and verification products activities plan//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/resources/documents/sub-projects/R2O_Sub_Projects_R2O_Verification_and_Products_19Mar2020.pdf||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %) provides additional information about this sub-project, which builds on the work of the previous [[(Phase I) S2S Verification and Products sub-project>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/xwiki/bin/view/Main/Verification||style="font-weight: normal;"]].(%%)**
10 10
11 -
12 -(% style="font-weight: normal;" %)**The **(%%)**[[//R2O and S2S forecast and verification products activities plan//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/resources/documents/sub-projects/R2O_Sub_Projects_R2O_Verification_and_Products_19Mar2020.pdf||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %) provides additional information about this sub-project, which builds on the work of the previous [[(%%)(Phase I) S2S Verification and Products sub-project>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/xwiki/bin/view/Main/Verification||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %).(%%)**
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16 -
17 -
18 18 **2) Linkages with WMO activities**
19 19
20 20 (% style="font-weight: normal;" %)**On the research side this sub-project has linkages with the **(%%)**[[Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research (JWGFVR)>>url:https://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/Forecast_Verification.html||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %), a WMO joint working group of the Working Group on Numerical Experimentation (WGNE) and the World Weather Research Programme (WWRP).(%%)**
21 21
22 -
23 -
24 24 (% style="font-weight: normal;" %)**On the operational side, this sub-project has linkages with **(%%)**[[Inter-Programme Expert Team on Operational Predictions from Sub-seasonal to Longer-Time Scale (IPET-OPSLS)>>url:http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/ccl/opace/opace3/ET-OPSLS-3-2.php||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %), a WMO joint team of the Commission for Basic Systems (CBS) and the Commission for Climatology (CCl).(%%)**
25 25
26 -
27 -
28 -**~ **
29 -
30 30 **3) Proposed questions to be addressed**
31 31
32 32 (% style="font-weight: normal;" %)**The **(%%)**[[World Weather Research Programme (WWRP)>>url:https://public.wmo.int/en/programmes/world-weather-research-programme||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %) has flagged improving forecasts of precipitation over land as an important area for S2S to focus research and services development efforts. In order to help advance scientific knowledge and the development of forecast and verification products in this priority area this sub-project invites the S2S research and operational communities to address the following questions:(%%)**
... ... @@ -47,12 +47,8 @@
47 47 Are there identifiable opportunities for producing sub-seasonal precipitation forecasts over land with improved quality? For example, are forecasts produced during Madden and Julian Oscillation (MJO) and/or El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events more skilful than when neutral conditions are present? Are forecasts for active and break rainfall phases and dry/wet spells (or other quantities of interest) of adequate quality for developing forecast products for use in application sectors?\\
48 48 )))
49 49
50 -
51 -
52 52 (% style="font-weight: normal;" %)**In order to address these questions the research community is encouraged to explore existing and develop novel methodologies for forecast calibration, combination and verification. Following the **(%%)**[[S2S verification chapter produced by the JWGFVR for the recent S2S book>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/resources/documents/sub-projects/Ch17-S2S-forecast-verification-chapter-S2S-wiki.pdf||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %), it is particularly encouraged the identification of the most relevant forecast quality attributes for the target audiences (e.g. model and forecast developers, and various application sectors) in order to choose appropriate scores and metrics to be able to adequately address clearly and previously defined verification questions of interest. This practice helps performing a thorough assessment of sub-seasonal forecasts from both the probabilistic and deterministic points of view.(%%)**
53 53
54 -
55 -
56 56 **4) Current work of S2S research community on calibration, multi-model combination, verification and forecast products generation**
57 57
58 58 **4.1) Projects and networks dealing with S2S predictions**
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59 59
60 60 (% style="font-weight: normal;" %)**//[[ACToday:>>url:https://iri.columbia.edu/actoday/]] The Adapting Agriculture to Climate Today, for Tomorrow project.//**
61 61
62 -
63 -
64 64 **[[African SWIFT:>>url:https://africanswift.org/||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %) Science for Weather Information and Forecasting Techniques.(%%)**
65 65
46 +===== [[CLIMAX:>>url:http://www.climax-sa.org/]] Climate Services Through Knowledge Co-Production: A Euro-South American Initiative for Strengthening Societal Adaptation Response to Extreme Events. =====
66 66
67 -
68 -===== **[[CLIMAX:>>url:http://www.climax-sa.org/]] Climate Services Through Knowledge Co-Production:__
69 - __A Euro-South American Initiative for Strengthening Societal Adaptation Response to Extreme Events.** =====
70 -
71 71 (((
72 -
73 -
74 74 **[[CSSP Brazil:>>url:https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/collaboration/newton/cssp-brazil/index||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %) Climate Science for Service Partnership Brazil(%%)**
75 75 )))
76 76
77 -
78 -
79 79 **[[CSSP China:>>url:https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/collaboration/newton/cssp-china/index||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %) Climate Science for Service Partnership China(%%)**
80 80
54 +===== [[SNAP:>>url:https://www.sparc-climate.org/activities/assessing-predictability/]] Stratospheric Network for the Assessment of Predictability. See verification plans on page 6 of [[this presentation>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/resources/documents/sub-projects/SNAP_to_S2S.pdf]]. =====
81 81
82 -
83 -===== **[[SNAP:>>url:https://www.sparc-climate.org/activities/assessing-predictability/]] Stratospheric Network for the Assessment of Predictability. See verification plans on page 6 of [[this presentation>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/resources/documents/sub-projects/SNAP_to_S2S.pdf]].** =====
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85 -
86 -
87 87 **[[WCSSP India:>>url:https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/collaboration/newton/cssp-india/weather-and-climate-science-for-service-partnership-india-wcssp-india||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %) Weather and Climate Science for Service Partnership India(%%)**
88 88
89 -
90 -
91 91 **4.2) Software tools**
92 92
93 -**[[PyCPT>>url:https://github.com/agmunozs||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %) of the International Institute for Cimate and Society ([[(%%)IRI>>url:https://iri.columbia.edu/||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %))(%%)**
60 +**[[PyCPT>>url:https://github.com/agmunozs||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %) of the International Institute for Cimate and Society ([[IRI>>url:https://iri.columbia.edu/||style="font-weight: normal;"]])(%%)**
94 94
95 -
96 -
97 97 **4.3) Web portals**
98 98
99 99 **[[IRI Sub-seasonal forecasts map room>>url:https://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/Global/ForecastsS2S/index.html||style="font-weight: normal;"]]**
100 100
66 +(% style="font-weight: normal;" %)**CLIMAX project forecast maps: **(%%)**[[Precipitation>>url:http://climar.cima.fcen.uba.ar/CFS/CFS_pre.php||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %), [[2 meter temperature>>url:http://climar.cima.fcen.uba.ar/CFS/CFS_tmp2m.php||style="font-weight: normal;"]], [[200 hPa Geopotential height>>url:http://climar.cima.fcen.uba.ar/CFS/CFS_z200.php||style="font-weight: normal;"]] and [[Outgoing Longwave Radiation>>url:http://climar.cima.fcen.uba.ar/CFS/CFS_olr.php||style="font-weight: normal;"]].(%%)**
101 101
102 -
103 -(% style="font-weight: normal;" %)**CLIMAX project forecast maps: **(%%)**[[Precipitation>>url:http://climar.cima.fcen.uba.ar/CFS/CFS_pre.php||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %), [[(%%)2 meter temperature>>url:http://climar.cima.fcen.uba.ar/CFS/CFS_tmp2m.php||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %), [[(%%)200 hPa Geopotential height>>url:http://climar.cima.fcen.uba.ar/CFS/CFS_z200.php||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %) and [[(%%)Outgoing Longwave Radiation>>url:http://climar.cima.fcen.uba.ar/CFS/CFS_olr.php||style="font-weight: normal;"]](% style="font-weight: normal;" %).(%%)**
104 -
105 -
106 -
107 107 **4.4) Publications**
108 108
109 109 (% style="font-weight: normal;" %)**To be updated…**
110 110
111 -**~ **
112 -
113 -
114 -
115 115 ----

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