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Changes for document MJO and Teleconnections
From version 38.3
edited by s2s_wiki
on 2021/04/30 02:55
on 2021/04/30 02:55
To version 39.1
edited by s2s_wiki
on 2021/05/14 10:01
on 2021/05/14 10:01
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Content changes
... | ... | @@ -23,8 +23,15 @@ |
23 | 23 | |
24 | 24 | __Publications__ |
25 | 25 | |
26 | +=== **Advances in the subseasonal prediction of extreme events** === | |
26 | 26 | |
28 | +Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Christopher J. White, Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, Ángel G. Muñoz, Matthew A. Janiga, Frédéric Vitart, C. Ole Wulff, Salomé Antoine, Constantin Ardilouze, Lauriane Batté, Hannah C. Bloomfield, David Brayshaw, Suzana J. Camargo, Andrew Charlton-Pérez, Dan Collins, Tim Cowan, Maria del Mar Chaves, Laura Ferranti, Rosario Gómez, Paula L.M. González, Carmen González Romero, Johnna M. Infanti, Stelios Karozis, Hera Kim, Erik W. Kolstad, Emerson LaJoie, Llorenç Lledó, Linus Magnusson, Piero Malguzzi, Andrea Manrique-Suñén, Daniele Mastrangelo, Stefano Materia, Hanoi Medina, Lluís Palma, Luis E. Pineda, Athanasios Sfetsos, Seok-Woo Son, Albert Soret, Sarah Strazzo, Di Tian | |
27 | 27 | |
30 | +**Findings**: While extreme weather events are often not predicted in a deterministic sense more than a few days in advance, there is potential for probabilistic sub-seasonal prediction on timescales of several weeks for many extreme events. Here we provide an overview of subseasonal predictability for some of the most prominent extreme events on a global scale: heatwaves, cold spells, heavy precipitation events, and tropical and extratropical cyclones. The Madden-Julian Oscillation provides added predictability for several of these extremes, including cold spells, precipitation extremes, and tropical cyclones. | |
31 | + | |
32 | +**Status**: Submitted to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | |
33 | + | |
34 | + | |
28 | 28 | [[image:Guigma_heatwaves_1.pdf||width="95%"]] |
29 | 29 | |
30 | 30 | [[image:Guigma_heatwaves_2.pdf||width="90%"]] |